The edge of the Earth in daylight, clouds over land and the thin blue line of the atmosphere, seen from orbit

We read the planet from orbit.

Food security, ground motion, forests, the sea and the sky. We turn what satellites and telescopes measure into forecasts and findings anyone can check.

Every forecast is stored before the answer is known.

We store every forecast in a log that cannot be changed, before anyone knows the answer. When the outcome is published, we compare the forecast with it, and both stay public side by side, so you can see how often we were right.

The engine behind it is HGE. It forms a hypothesis that can be proven wrong, runs it the same way every time and signs the result, so others can replay it from the same data.

We publish the method on arXiv. The code for LITHOS, PSE and climval is open source, and the CERES forecasts are open through a public API.

Farmland and a winding river at the edge of dry land, Sentinel-2 mosaic

CERES, Food security forecasting

Famine risk, 90 days ahead.

CERES is a food security forecast that gives the risk of a food crisis in 43 countries, 90 days ahead, every week. Each forecast goes into a log that cannot be changed before the outcome is known, so you can later compare it with what happened.

See how CERES works

This week's forecasts.

CERES gives the probability of a food crisis within 90 days. Here are the five highest this week, and how many forecasts we have stored so far.

CERES, 43 countries, forecasts issued 12 October 2026. Probability of crisis (IPC 3+) within 90 days.

70%: Sudan
57%: Yemen
52%: Mozambique
45%: South Sudan
42%: Afghanistan
1,376: Forecasts stored before the outcome was known

Northflow Space

From the seabed to the stars.

From subsea cables to unseen stars: six systems that read Europe's satellites and star catalogues.

Explore Northflow Space

The systems.

Earth observation, Climate, Space, The method, Life sciences.